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分享个人的读书、思考。建立了两个构建知识体系的博客站:人文百科:rwpedia.com,网络宝藏:wangluobaozang.com。先更新一些我以前写的文章。

He kept winning until he lost everything in one round.

If you look at my Weibo, you will know that I was always confused about the public relations strategies of Zheng Shuang and Kris Wu. I have always criticized the fact that the crisis lasted for such a long time, why didn't they cut their losses? Even if they didn't cut their losses at the previous critical point, they should have done so at the next point. It's never too late to cut losses, although the later you do it, the greater the loss.

Of course, I understand the reason. They didn't have the awareness to cut their losses. They always thought that the crisis they faced was caused by the actions of certain individuals challenging them, without realizing that their crisis actually came from a more dangerous place. They couldn't see the consequences of their actions or what kind of world they were facing.

That's why we should put ourselves in their shoes. The entertainment industry is a steep pyramid structure, and they are at the top of the domestic entertainment industry. It's easy for them to feel like they have a sense of destiny. Since they have achieved success step by step and reached this point, they believe they won't fail. They also dislike any loss of interests and reputation.

Take Zheng Shuang as an example. She was born in the heavy industrial area of Northeast China, which, apart from a few big cities, has the most comprehensive coverage of art education from kindergarten onwards. This also explains why there are so many entertainers from the Northeast in the entertainment industry.

Then, under the expectations of their parents, relying on their appearance, talent, luck, and what they believe to be their own choices and efforts, they gradually reached the top of the pyramid, surrounded by people who praised and flattered them. Just think about it, many parents would post on their social media when their child gets first place in an exam to receive praise from others, let alone them. They would naturally extrapolate linearly, thinking that since they have succeeded in the past, they will also succeed in the future.

When someone threatens their future, their thinking is that this person is jealous and trying to extort money from them, and they must not let them succeed. Their perspective is so limited. They and their parents are not particularly stupid, but rather similar to most people in the country. But if you are so mediocre and lack understanding of the world, how can you stably stand at the top of the pyramid?

They don't understand that this world is full of cause and effect, with calamities and disasters everywhere. Any mistakes or negligence you make will make it impossible for you to recover. If they just open their eyes and look at the successful people with names and surnames in the past thirty years, they would see what their fate was.

Past success cannot be extrapolated to future success. In a card game, if you win every hand and put all your winnings on the table, then as long as you lose one hand, you will lose everything. For ordinary people, if you invest in stocks, don't put all your money on one stock, and definitely don't use leverage. If you see a gray rhino, then follow Murphy's Law, what should happen will happen, don't rely on luck.

When the wind is blowing in your favor, do what you need to do. Many people attribute it to their own luck and efforts, but they don't understand that the most important thing is the favorable wind. This kind of cycle of ups and downs is so long that many people don't even realize its existence, such as the reform and real estate. The same goes for the entertainment industry, which is now completely against the wind, making it very difficult for newcomers to succeed.

For ordinary people, being able to see the direction of the wind and avoid risks is not an easy task. This world doesn't care about individual success or failure.

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